tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post4169558341637876515..comments2024-03-26T02:08:50.592-05:00Comments on Observations: Stock Market Annual Performance since 1929 (bar chart)Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-90856262476574374952012-10-28T15:37:04.220-05:002012-10-28T15:37:04.220-05:00Unk,
If you look in the sidebar list of most popul...Unk,<br />If you look in the sidebar list of most popular posts all-time, you will see both a 100-year stock market chart and a 100-year interest rate chart. However, if the question is whether I have a chart that combines both, I do not (though, you could easily construct one from the two spreadsheets if you like). I have thought about doing that, but so far have not.<br /><br />Remember, the nature of my normalized p/e is such that it cannot be calculated until several years after the fact (see <a href="http://observationsandnotes.blogspot.com/2009/06/about-normalized-earnings-and-pe-ratios.html" rel="nofollow">About P/E and Normalized P/E</a>). Given that, I suspect what you're seeing is the latest available; if not, let me know which post or spreadsheet you're looking at and I'll try to update.<br /><br />Thanks for stopping by.Alhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03349009181054767705noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-60007361342629907252012-10-28T09:34:30.287-05:002012-10-28T09:34:30.287-05:00Overall, your work is fascinating. This is my fris...Overall, your work is fascinating. This is my frist time to the site. <br /><br />Have you posted interest rate along with stock for the past 100 years? Also, do you have most updated NPE? I think your current post has up to 2008. How is the current NPE comparing to history. Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14810802527584575080noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-22575553624990969672010-08-18T20:18:24.496-05:002010-08-18T20:18:24.496-05:00Interesting questions. Unfortunately, my primary ...Interesting questions. Unfortunately, my primary data is yearly data, so I haven't looked at long-term performance on a monthly basis.Alhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03349009181054767705noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-13429075392616763182010-08-18T19:39:03.906-05:002010-08-18T19:39:03.906-05:00What does each month look like over the years what...What does each month look like over the years what does the market look like on average in september,<br />what doest the market look like on average in september during a down year.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-54990922634790890772010-05-12T12:51:40.638-05:002010-05-12T12:51:40.638-05:00See the Average Annual Return Since 19xx post. Tha...See the Average Annual Return Since 19xx post. That post tracks return through the end of the most recent end-of-year.Alhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03349009181054767705noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-88885308051540446742010-05-12T07:41:15.392-05:002010-05-12T07:41:15.392-05:00What is the overall average since 1929?What is the overall average since 1929?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-91866673933557542932010-04-04T22:47:15.911-05:002010-04-04T22:47:15.911-05:00OK, interesting study, but did you consider that 3...OK, interesting study, but did you consider that 30% of your population is retiring in the next 10 years?? If 30% of your population is going conservative and the other 70% are struggling to make ends meet, who will replace the growth of the baby boomer's from 1980 to 1998 market growth? Is it our 1.5 children?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-33648099331648713322009-04-29T17:03:00.000-05:002009-04-29T17:03:00.000-05:00Anon,
Thanks for the comment.
I agree that for ...Anon,<br />Thanks for the comment. <br /><br />I agree that for most people it is appropriate to invest more conservatively as you approach and enter retirement. I'll have more to say about that later when I start posting about the implications of some of these results on retirement planning. <br /><br />I also probably agree with your thoughts on riding it out -- IF you have a well constructed retirement plan, and your asset allocation has been thoroughly thought through, and both are appropriate given your age, risk tolerance, financial resources, etc. However, I would shy away from making a blanket statement that it's the right strategy for ALL people in ALL down markets. I think it depends on one's circumstances. That's one reason I virtually never make recommendations in my blog.Alhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03349009181054767705noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-41566723860074753492009-04-29T11:39:00.000-05:002009-04-29T11:39:00.000-05:00Very interesting views of the data. I think the l...Very interesting views of the data. I think the long term view is best, but it must be balanced against needs for funds as you approach retirement. As people approach retirement, they need to get more and more conservative in their investments. This is part of the issue today since there are so many baby boomers now entering the retirement phase of their life. But one thing I have learned the hard way is if you get caught in a down market, it is best to just ride it out. These data support that view. However, bear in mind that today's economy is far different than it has been in the past. We have very little manufacturing base in the USA anymore. As the standard warning reads "Past performance is no guarantee of future results."Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com