tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post2148936325662283945..comments2024-03-26T02:08:50.592-05:00Comments on Observations: The 10-Year Stock Market ProjectionUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-56802481841461315442012-06-03T18:14:46.892-05:002012-06-03T18:14:46.892-05:00I agree the S&P would be "better" in...I agree the S&P would be "better" in some sense. If I were starting over, I'd almost certainly use the S&P. However, projections like these are really intended to be more qualitative than quantitative, so it's not clear what you've really gained. Bottom line either way is below average expected returns.Alhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03349009181054767705noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-70033238447193347702012-05-29T14:01:55.116-05:002012-05-29T14:01:55.116-05:00Excellent analysis. It would even be better if yo...Excellent analysis. It would even be better if you were to do this for the S&P500. Much more representative of the overall US market than the Dow. I've attempted to do this for the S&P500 and get about a 3.1% annualized return from end of 2011 to the end of 2011Marknoreply@blogger.com