tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post7782131954489681179..comments2024-03-26T02:08:50.592-05:00Comments on Observations: Dow 25-Year Moving Average HistoryUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-65154086383494793922013-02-27T21:48:48.990-06:002013-02-27T21:48:48.990-06:00Regarding boomers, nice try there with the fear se...Regarding boomers, nice try there with the fear selling. Demographic shifts dont really have the power to create market ups and downs. Population shifts take a while and are known. Stocks dont usually price in changes that happen slowly over 20 to 30 yrs. Some boomers will sell stocks, but many will buy more stocks and they build wealth over the coming decades. They may pass wealth on to others who spend and invest. This helps the economy. THey can sell their businesses upon retirement and then invest more. This isnt a zero sum game. Capital markets grow and expand. Dont buy in to messages based on fear. Fear always sells. Be smart.gmoprohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10780551966175991152noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-13587715376796425092011-01-13T18:56:04.964-06:002011-01-13T18:56:04.964-06:00I'd like to take the credit, but, truth is, I ...I'd like to take the credit, but, truth is, I don't really call bottoms -- or tops. My intent was just to provide some history and perspective. The market has rarely gone below the 25-year moving average. That doesn't mean it can't. Elsewhere on the site you will find analysis that suggests other possible bottoms; those weren't calls either.<br /><br />Thanks for stopping by the site.Alhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03349009181054767705noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-83324778305538058322011-01-11T23:41:57.975-06:002011-01-11T23:41:57.975-06:00Need I say....nice job calling the bottom!Need I say....nice job calling the bottom!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-54160636004350302992010-04-04T23:08:27.517-05:002010-04-04T23:08:27.517-05:00BABY BOOMER'S ARE RETIRING!!! RUN FOR THE HILL...BABY BOOMER'S ARE RETIRING!!! RUN FOR THE HILLS!!! This last crash was a wake up call warning them that its time to cash in savings for those rainy days...Most of them were brought up by post-depression fathers and mothers...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-19770732946348171612009-03-22T15:40:00.000-05:002009-03-22T15:40:00.000-05:00Anon,If you measure from the 1929 peak to the 1932...Anon,<BR/>If you measure from the 1929 peak to the 1932 trough, the loss is even greater. See http://observationsandnotes.blogspot.com/2009/03/1929-1932-stock-market-crash-revisited.htmlAlhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03349009181054767705noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-60316792690883067182009-03-12T11:16:00.000-05:002009-03-12T11:16:00.000-05:00Anon makes an important point -- so important that...Anon makes an important point -- so important that I think it deserves a separate post.<BR/>Coming soon....Alhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03349009181054767705noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7073066728112402191.post-8017905866916230102009-03-05T15:12:00.000-06:002009-03-05T15:12:00.000-06:00We've already had as big of a crash as 1929-1930. ...We've already had as big of a crash as 1929-1930. The scary thing is will 1931 happen again....prices dropped 70% for a total loss of 85%...we'd be looking at a DJIA of 2100. The good news is even then most of the loss was regained in 2 or 3 yearsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com