Stock Market Total Return Results Through 2010
- Since 1900 (end-of-year 1899), through 2010, I estimate the average total return/year of the DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) was approximately 9.4% -- 4.8% in price appreciation, plus approx 4.7% in dividends. (Some numbers won't add up due to rounding.)
- Since 1929 (year-end 1928 -- i.e., before the crash), thru 2010, the return was 8.8% (4.6%, plus 4.3%) [note: see The 1929 Stock Market Crash]
- Since end-of-year 1932 (i.e., after the crash): 11.2% (7.0%, plus 4.2%)
- The average annual stock market return for the past twenty-five calendar years, was 11.2% (8.4%, plus 2.8%)
- Stock market returns for the last 20 years: 10.2% (7.7%, plus 2.5%)
- Returns for the last 10 years, 3.1% (0.7%, plus 2.4%)
- For the last 5 years, 4.2% (1.6%, plus 2.7%)
- For 2010 the stock market (Dow/DJIA) total return was 13.8% (11.0% plus 2.8%)
- 2010 year-end dividend yield was 2.5%
- Stock Market Total Returns through 2011 similar to this post
- Stock Market Total Returns through 2009 similar to this post
- 2010 Year-End Stock Market Update December, 4th Qtr, YTD, etc.
Notes re DataIn all cases above, the returns are from year-end to year-end. In addition, by "stock market" I mean the DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average). The results would be essentially the same for the S&P 500. Notes: returns are compounded annually; compounding dividends more frequently would result in slightly higher returns; dividends prior to 1929 have been estimated based upon another stock market index. To calculate the return for periods not listed above, e.g. 1999-2002, see my Dow Compound Growth Rate Calculator/Spreadsheet.
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Copyright © 2012. Last modified: 1/3/2013
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